"America is careening toward a fiscal crisis that makes 2008 look manageable, yet most taxpayers remain unaware that it is coming.
State and local governments currently owe $1.37 trillion more in pension benefits than they have saved to pay them, per the Equable Institute, and that uses accounting standards governments themselves prefer. Apply the market-based discount rates Stanford economist Joshua Rauh of the Hoover Institution considers the only honest methodology, and the true shortfall reaches $5.1 trillion, roughly the annual GDP of Japan.
This a structural death spiral. Rising pension costs force tax increases and service cuts, which drive out residents and businesses, which shrinks the tax base, which forces still higher taxes, until something breaks. We have already seen a road map for what “breaks” looks like. It is called Detroit."